I don't think he is running, and even if he did, he wouldn't make it to SC. Graham may be hoping to force foreign policy issues, by getting into forums and debates.

If he runs, it is ONLY to make it to SC! He would be putting all of his chips into a landslide win there with hopes of it spurring the south to vote for him in the SEC primary. Hopefully he doesn't run at all. We don't need a SC favorite son to run against Huck.

Walker frontrunner:



http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2158

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

PPP 4/23 - 4/26

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_42815.pdf

Walker 23
Rubio 13
Bush 12
Huckabee 10
Paul 10
Cruz 8
Carson 7
Christie 5
Perry 4

The dynamics haven't changed that much in Iowa it seems...

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Waiting for the bump in Iowa!

Walker 21
Rubio 13
Paul 13
Cruz 12
Huckabee 11
Carson 7
Bush 5
Christie 3
Perry 3
Santorum 2
Fiorina 2
Kasich 2

4/25 - 5/4 Quinnipiac

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/iowa/release-detail?ReleaseID=2223

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

http://ulstermanbooks.com/scott-walker-dominates-iowa-poll-but-dont-underestimate-mike-huckabee/

Scott Walker Dominates Iowa Poll – But Don’t Underestimate Mike Huckabee

Great news

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

One thing that significantly differentiates Huckabee's numbers from the others is that Huckabee's numbers are hard. On the other hand with the possible exception of Paul, all the other candidate's numbers are soft and fluid. That means that the Huckabee campaign has something to build on that isn't based on hype or being the flavor of the day.

I would contend that Cruz and Carson both have very soft support right now, and both will see declines once the race starts getting serious in November. I think Rubio and Walker are going to slide up and down based on perceived strengths and weaknesses. Only Huckabee and Paul have built-in voters and organizations that are ready to build on.

Based on that, I see the top three in the Iowa caucus consisting of Paul, Huckabee, and someone else, with the order to be determined. I don't think Paul can win because I believe that although his supporters are fiercely loyal there will always be a ceiling that will keep him from doing any better than second. That gives Huckabee a reasonable shot at winning the Iowa caucus.

One Big Wildcard that is looming out there is the upcoming Supreme Court decision in June on gay marriage. If it goes as I believe it will, and the Supreme Court rules in favor of gay marriage then this is going to fire up conservative caucus goers and could be an extra edge for whichever candidate catches that wave. Certainly Huckabee could be that candidate.

Been awhile since Huckabee has been on top of an Iowa poll...

Don't know why Rubio is so low in this poll compared to previous polls though.

Walker 17
Paul 10
Carson 10
Huckabee 9
Bush 9
Rubio 6
Santorum 6
Cruz 5
Christie 4
Trump 4
Perry 3
Fiorina 2
Kasich 2
Jindal 1

And such a long list of candidates...

5/25 - 5/29

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/elections/presidential/caucus/2015/05/30/iowa-poll-scott-walker-seven-point-lead/28230505/

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Another one. This poll was taken at the same time as the previous one, but Rubio's and Paul's poll numbers don't match up at all.

http://gravismarketing.com/polling-and-market-research/iowa-poll-walker-leads-gop-field-clinton-domination-continues/

Walker 17
Rubio 13
Carson 12
Bush 10
Huckabee 8
Cruz 6
Santorum 6
Fiorina 5
Paul 4
Christie 4
Trump
Perry
Kasich
Jindal

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Solid numbers.

Walker 18
Huckabee 10
Paul 10
Bush 10
Rubio 7
Christie 6
Carson 5
Trump 5
Cruz 4
Fiorina 2

http://morningconsult.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/150502_crosstabs_mc_IA_v1_AD.pdf

If Walker stumbles, this would give an opening to Huckabee.

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Disappointing numbers in Iowa...

Walker 18
Trump 10
Carson 10
Paul 9
Cruz 9
Bush 8
Rubio 7
Huckabee 5
Santorum 4
Perry 4
Fiorina 3
Jindal 3
Kasich 2
Christie 1

6/20 - 6/29
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia07012015_Is38vbd.pdf

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Back to "normal" (actually this poll was taken around the same time as the previous one):

Walker 18
Bush 12
Paul 10
Huckabee 10
Rubio 9
Carson 5
Trump 7
Cruz 8
Santorum 4
Christie 5
Perry 4
Fiorina 3
Jindal 2
Kasich 1

http://siouxcityjournal.com/news/local/polls-walker-clinton-leading-races-in-iowa/article_1250ff58-2f6d-5194-a750-fe227514fbee.html

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Iowa doesn't heart Huckabee so much at the moment

Trump 19
Walker 12
Carson 12
Bush 11
Fiorina 10
Cruz 9
Huckabee 6
Rubio 6
Paul 3
Kasich 3
Jindal 2
Perry 2
Santorum 2
Christie 1
Graham 0

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_IA_81015.pdf

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot

Really does appear that alot of Huck's support has shifted over to Carson. People like the fresh, new guy in politics and Carson fills that void nicely for many. Huck's challange is to win most of that back. Loooong way to go till anyone casts an actual vote.

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Most people believe what they see, the Left see's what it believes.....

I just cannot understand the attraction people have to trump!! He is an idiot and he has no business being president! what are poeple seeing?

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Sherri Eaton
Caney, Kansas

Just for comparison and context, a September 2007 L.A. Times/Bloomberg poll yielded the following results in Iowa:


Romney ..............28
Thompson ..............16
Giuliani ..............16
Huckabee ..............8
McCain .............. 7
Tancredo .............. 3
Brownback ...............2
Paul .............. 2
Hunter ..............1
Don't Know ..............17


http://media.trb.com/media/acrobat/2007-11/33680430.pdf

Far from the actual results.

Though I'd like the polling numbers to be better (that new Rasmussen national poll is hopefully an outlier), it's waaay to early to put much stock in them right now. People vote, not polls.

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Most people believe what they see, the Left see's what it believes.....

They're seeing someone who is strong, speaks his mind and won't get pushed around. In light of 8 years of Obama getting pushed around, bowing, getting taken advantage of at the negotiating table with Iran etc. that's a powerful image.

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I share Huck's birthday...I was a few years too late though

It's also about peaking at the right time, which means not now. The frontrunner(s) now might very well not be on top come February.

Too low poll numbersnow are not good either though... discouraging for fundraising, media reporting, etc.

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He is no fool, who gives what he cannot keep, to gain what he cannot lose. -Jim Elliot